Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.347766 0.403257 0.461608 0.527252 0.598763 0.674032 0.758975
2025-01-19 0.276384 0.353750 0.440095 0.542455 0.659363 0.787664 0.938057
2025-01-26 0.226899 0.318812 0.427139 0.561516 0.721104 0.902137 1.120581
2025-02-02 0.188654 0.290255 0.416314 0.579186 0.779234 1.012500 1.300645
2025-02-09 0.150575 0.255343 0.392459 0.576906 0.810845 1.090664 1.443699
2025-02-16 0.125220 0.232907 0.380937 0.587252 0.856153 1.184630 1.606194
2025-02-23 0.100798 0.207412 0.361782 0.584802 0.883344 1.255446 1.740718
2025-03-02 0.075844 0.176242 0.330640 0.562731 0.882419 1.289327 1.828775
2025-03-09 0.062680 0.161570 0.321359 0.569153 0.917967 1.368935 1.974015
2025-03-16 0.048333 0.141608 0.301441 0.558238 0.928505 1.415368 2.077032
2025-03-23 0.042523 0.136528 0.304258 0.580136 0.984126 1.521063 2.256662
2025-03-30 0.034453 0.124891 0.294823 0.582525 1.011785 1.589636 2.388806
2025-04-06 0.027380 0.113747 0.285309 0.584578 1.039589 1.659904 2.525790
2025-04-13 0.022888 0.107425 0.283539 0.598404 1.084453 1.753775 2.694903
2025-04-20 0.019606 0.103223 0.285087 0.617307 1.136880 1.858495 2.879395
2025-04-27 0.016688 0.099082 0.286204 0.635281 1.188077 1.962063 3.063392
2025-05-04 0.012549 0.089447 0.275337 0.632388 1.207525 2.021606 3.188953
2025-05-11 0.010107 0.084247 0.272741 0.643104 1.247475 2.109969 3.353872
2025-05-18 0.007343 0.076114 0.262845 0.640348 1.266285 2.168498 3.478747
2025-05-25 0.004349 0.063977 0.242149 0.616823 1.251575 2.178661 3.537360
2025-06-01 0.003171 0.059547 0.238436 0.623594 1.284361 2.256817 3.689447
2025-06-08 0.001826 0.051793 0.225360 0.611973 1.287096 2.291275 3.781327
2025-06-15 0.001508 0.051310 0.230609 0.635211 1.346466 2.408567 3.988765